Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 274.907228 310.520072 350.078423 397.471648 452.961468 516.179470 594.087533
2025-06-15 221.385136 267.845950 324.046386 397.803169 493.194585 613.995238 781.130765
2025-06-22 188.478143 237.928229 301.027576 388.847212 510.171769 675.339497 923.401513
2025-06-29 167.759001 219.120819 287.561078 387.552833 533.604805 745.261110 1087.186241
2025-07-06 147.084845 197.229275 266.331841 371.230441 531.447935 775.810533 1195.432359
2025-07-13 139.519518 192.207554 267.388604 386.197665 576.521385 883.387988 1447.378822
2025-07-20 133.605325 188.656874 269.766977 402.844090 625.872164 1005.279894 1751.019037
2025-07-27 125.101662 180.281986 263.772827 405.143448 651.371802 1090.188296 2005.611848
2025-08-03 115.091971 168.631007 251.422262 395.313718 654.146038 1134.019334 2188.094156
2025-08-10 106.879027 159.037235 241.355062 387.994152 660.017937 1184.005975 2394.986460
2025-08-17 103.215900 156.312101 242.087272 399.294748 701.596111 1310.869521 2808.037359
2025-08-24 97.592559 149.919774 236.074217 397.714765 717.970699 1388.543818 3125.633999
2025-08-31 91.209574 141.946649 226.946940 389.898191 721.856621 1442.386933 3405.812342
2025-09-07 86.736111 136.871839 222.444917 390.364595 742.993879 1539.450248 3837.176557
2025-09-14 81.309227 129.754650 213.701470 381.597070 743.114511 1587.202701 4143.301419
2025-09-21 77.459753 125.104557 209.015499 380.333907 759.443197 1677.659712 4614.003466
2025-09-28 71.940191 117.147155 197.655773 364.380943 740.402514 1674.897678 4781.861080
2025-10-05 70.866815 117.056747 200.928565 379.009386 794.392182 1875.496850 5734.779383
2025-10-12 70.008686 117.279503 204.783161 395.275575 855.009242 2109.720361 6937.378646
2025-10-19 67.553416 114.379634 202.338595 397.522136 881.161757 2251.225245 7849.853457
2025-10-26 63.970701 109.150345 194.920503 387.917649 875.479901 2295.353689 8367.434931
2025-11-02 60.904778 104.730426 188.828053 380.765007 875.354775 2357.452379 9005.839319
2025-11-09 59.894528 104.182453 190.528877 391.807604 926.145363 2598.467584 10677.800582